When the Payments (11-3) journey to play the Patriots (6-8) in New England on “Monday Night time Soccer” (8:15 p.m. ET), they are going to be on the lookout for a season sweep to additional validate their takeover as new AFC East champions.
The Payments are already within the playoffs as a top-three seed and a win would put them in nice place to win No. 2 behind the Chiefs and forward of the Steelers. The Patriots, eradicated from playoff rivalry, don;t have a lot motivation apart from the actual fact they’ll play delicate spoilers and earn a bit respect on the finish of a misplaced season for Invoice Belichick.
Here is every little thing to find out about betting on Payments vs. Patriots in Week 16, together with up to date odds, tendencies and our prediction for “Monday Night time Soccer.”
Payments vs. Patriots odds
- Unfold: Payments by 7
- Over/underneath: 46.5
- Moneyline: Payments -330, Patriots +275
The Payments have been hovering round landing street favorites as they’ve performed very effectively with Allen of late whereas the Patriots appeared terrible towards the Rams and Dolphins in back-to-back weeks. It additionally helps the Payments’ protection is enjoying higher to additional stymie the Patriots’ offense.
Payments vs. Patriots all-time sequence
The Patriots nonetheless maintain a 76-44-1 general benefit. The Payments gained on Nov. 1, holding on for a 24-21 victory after a late Newton fumble. That ended a seven-game profitable streak by the Patriots. The final time the Payments gained consecutive video games within the sequence was in 1999 and 2000.
Three tendencies to know
— 85 % of unfold bettors are with the Payments to bury the Patriots regardless of the large quantity of their favor.
— 94 percdent of over/underneath bettors suppose the entire for the sport is simply too low based mostly on the Payments’ red-hot offense.
— The Payments are 9-5 towards the unfold this season and 9 of their video games have gone over. The Patriots are 6-8 towards the unfold and solely 4 of their video games has gone over.
Three issues to observe
Stefon Diggs vs. J.C. Jackson
The Patriots have misplaced Stephon Gimore to a season-ending quad harm so Jackson will draw the task of overlaying the Payments’ prime large receiver. Jackson has been powerful in protection and can provide Diggs some issues outdoors, however Diggs will find yourself profitable along with his savvy route-running, fingers, pace and quickness from aligning in numerous areas.
Newton vs. the Payments’ ballhawks
The Payments’ protection has been much more weak towards the run than move however of late they’ve discovered a solution to make large performs off takeaways. Newton has been sloppy with the ball and his receiving threats will likely be simply contained.
Allen discovering new weapons
After Diggs, the Payments have had many sources of key performs within the passing sport. Cole Beasley may need a tricky time within the slot, however gamers comparable to rookie large receiver Gabriel Davis, gadget participant Isaiah McKenzie and tight finish Dawson Knox have been stepping up of late, too. The Patriots can attempt to remove Diggs, however Allen is wise sufficient to seek out different open males throughout his breakout season.
Stat that issues
133.0. That is what number of common dashing yards per sport the Patriots quit, No. 27 within the NFL. Prior to now three video games, that quantity has elevated to 168.7 yards allowed per sport. The Payments are a passing first workforce with Allen this season, however they want to run the ball higher and can achieve this with Devin Singletary and Zack Moss.
Payments vs. Patriots prediction
The Payments are a greater workforce because the first assembly after Allen has discovered his groove. The Patriots are a worse workforce with their protection struggling and the offense hurting in every single place. Buffalo will roll with Allen getting loads of assistance on the bottom whereas Newton will get submerged in path mode.
Payments 24, Patriots 14