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DraftKings Picks Week 17: NFL DFS lineup advice for daily fantasy football tournaments

We’re on to Week 17 of the NFL DFS season, and that is the place issues begin to get a bit bizarre. The dangerous information is that some groups which are in meaningless video games might sit their starters, in order that hurts depth a bit of bit. The excellent news is that there is a loaded Sunday slate that gamers will have the ability to benefit from as they make key lineup selections and decide a technique to comply with. Our Week 17 DraftKings event lineup will roll with fairly a couple of sleeper choices to realize lineup differentiation whereas paying up for secure, elite gamers in top-tier matchups. 

This week, the RB place stands out as one of many strongest spots. There are quite a few top-tier backs enjoying in significant video games which are favorable matchups, and whereas they’re costly, they’re the basic kind of high-ceiling, high-floor gamers that it may be good to spend up for in GPP lineups. Does that imply spending down in lots of different locations and rolling with some sleepers? Certain, however given the worth all the best way down the WR slate and the standard worth choices at QB, TE, and D/ST, there are definitely methods to construct an efficient lineup.

Quarterback | Running back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D/ST | Kicker

As all the time, matchups have been a giant a part of our lineup determination, and persevering with to focus on the run defenses of the Texans and Panthers is a very good technique. We additionally thought of going towards the Lions’ run protection however simply could not fairly afford Dalvin Prepare dinner. Along with the matchup-based performs, we even have an underrated Rams stack that may very well be a big-time threat, but when it pays off, we might find yourself wanting like geniuses.

Quarterback | Running back | Wide receiver | Tight end | D/ST | Kicker

This lineup is for Week 17 DraftKings major slate tournaments.

  • We’re taking an enormous threat at quarterback on this lineup, nevertheless it’s one that might repay. The Rams are going to be with out Jared Goff (thumb), so Wolford would be the starter. Wolford has by no means performed a significant NFL snap, however he has been with the Rams since April of 2019. Sean McVay is a good offensive-minded coach, so him being snug with Wolford suggests the backup ought to have an opportunity to seek out success as an NFL passer. In GPP codecs, you need to take some probabilities, and spending down at QB typically pays off. The Cardinals protection has allowed three passing TDs to each Jalen Hurts and C.J. Beathard in back-to-back weeks, so possibly Wolford can get a number of scores, too. Both manner, getting him at a sub-$5K worth looks like an opportunity value taking.

  • This is one of many rapid advantages of spending down for Wolford: We are able to spend up at each RB spots. Kamara is coming off a six-TD sport by which he practically totaled 60 DraftKings factors. We’re not anticipating that sort of manufacturing once more, however the reality of the matter is that Kamara has been simplest when Drew Brees has been within the lineup and the Panthers have allowed the seventh-most DK factors to RBs this season. Kamara had 148 whole yards the final time he performed Carolina, together with eight receptions. The Panthers have allowed the second-most receptions to RBs on the yr (93), so Kamara can benefit from that in DraftKings’ full-point PPR format.

  • No staff has allowed extra DraftKings factors to RBs this season than the Texans. No RB has extra carries (344) or speeding yards (1,777) than Henry this yr, and the final time he took on the Texans, he popped off for 264 whole yards and two TDs. Henry is enjoying in a must-win sport and can have a shot at reaching 2,000 speeding yards on the season if he can actually run wild once more. The Texans have allowed an NFL-high 2,082 speeding yards to RBs, the second-most receiving yards to the place (722), and 20 whole TDs. This matchup is elite, and with Henry and Kamara on this lineup, our ceiling is already insanely excessive.

  • Sure, we’re stacking a participant with John Wolford. That describes 2020 in a nutshell! In all seriousness, the Rams are going to must throw a bit to maintain tempo with Kyler Murray’s Cardinals, and Wolford will possible look towards Robert Woods and Kupp on this matchup. Each might find yourself being stable performs, however we’re going with Kupp as a result of he is barely cheaper right here. Since Week 8, Kupp has averaged 9.1 targets, 6.9 catches, and 69.6 receiving yards per sport. He solely has three TDs on the yr, however he has double-digit DK factors in six of his previous eight outings. That makes him a comparatively secure decide to anchor our receiving corps. We’ll take probabilities elsewhere, however the Wolford-Kupp stack might find yourself being a very good one.

  • Jeudy was a sub-$4K worth play for us final week, and we’re sticking with him right here. After 5 weeks of lackluster manufacturing, Jeudy noticed a career-high 15 targets towards the Chargers. He caught six of these targets for 61 yards, however he ought to’ve accomplished higher if not for the various drops he had in the course of the sport. Jeudy remains to be underpriced when accounting for these drops, and if he improves his arms towards the Raiders, he might have a giant day. The Raiders have allowed the Thirteenth-most DK factors to WRs this yr, and Jeudy logged a ten.8-point outing towards them earlier within the yr. It is a stable matchup and if Jeudy can get double-digit targets once more, he could find yourself being a possible increase decide at a low value.

  • We’re scraping the underside of the barrel once more with this decide, as paying up for RBs has triggered us to take a little bit of a stars-and-scrubs strategy. That stated, Guyton is an efficient gamble right here. With Keenan Allen (hamstring) wanting unsure for the Chargers’ season finale towards the Chiefs, Guyton may very well be in line for a large position. Guyton has performed at the least 80 p.c of the Chargers’ snaps in his previous 4 video games and is averaging 5.3 targets and 45 yards per sport throughout that span. The numbers aren’t big, however Guyton is a deep risk and might break an extended TD catch at any time. With the Chiefs (possible) set to relaxation a few of their starters, Guyton may very well be in line to make some deep performs, particularly if Allen cannot go well with up or is proscribed. Guyton caught a 14-yard TD towards the Chiefs earlier within the season, in order that additionally offers us confidence that he generally is a stable sleeper decide.

  • The Payments are one among 4 groups within the NFL which have allowed at the least 900 receiving yards to TEs. Gesicki has averaged 17.1 DK factors in his previous 4 outings and had his largest sport of the yr (30 DK factors through eight catches, 130 yards, and a TD) towards the Payments the primary time these two groups met. Begin him with confidence provided that the Dolphins are embroiled in a tricky playoff race and Tua Tagovailoa appears to be wanting his manner often.

  • In his two begins this yr, Wilson has 39 carries and a whopping 295 yards together with three TDs. In every of these video games, he has totaled at the least 30 DK factors. The Seahawks have been respectable towards RBs this yr, however Kyle Shanahan’s run sport is difficult to cease and Wilson is about to deal with a bulk of the workload once more. It is also value noting that the 49ers will likely be with out their top-two WRs, Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk, and so they’re on their third totally different beginning QB of the yr in C.J. Beathard, so they’ll most likely lean on the run on this one. That solely makes Wilson a extra interesting possibility at this comparatively low cost value.

  • On the floor, it might appear insane to belief the Jets, however in back-to-back weeks, they’ve carried out nicely on protection. They’ve 17 whole DK factors enjoying towards the Rams and Browns in Weeks 15 and 16. In the meantime, the Patriots offense continues to sputter, and so they’ll both have to decide on to position with the ineffective Cam Newton or the unproven Jarrett Stidham, who has thrown 4 picks on 48 profession passes. Each of these matchups would seemingly profit the Jets, particularly since they’re going to have the ability to include the run with their sturdy run protection that has allowed 94 or fewer speeding yards in 5 of their previous six video games. We’ll take a flier on them at this spot within the hopes that they will make a giant play and provides us some additional lineup differentiation.

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