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Super Bowl 2021 odds, line: Chiefs vs. Buccaneers picks, predictions from SN experts

A Tremendous Bowl billed as Tom Brady vs. Patrick Mahomes — a quarterback battle of the ages, the GOAT towards his rightful inheritor — figures to be a detailed and thrilling coin-flip. 

That is not precisely how Sporting Information’ NFL consultants see it, although. Super Bowl 55 between the Chiefs (14-2) and Buccaneers (11-5) is more likely to be aggressive, in keeping with our predictions, however SN’s writers are unanimous of their picks to hoist the Lombardi Trophy in 2021.

Kansas Metropolis opened as a 3.5-point favourite over Tampa. That line has since shifted barely towards the Bucs, resting at -3 as of Monday, because the “dwelling crew” awaits the defending champions at Raymond James Stadium. The SN workers additionally sees an offensive showcase that surpass the purpose whole (56.5), with 5 of six writers projecting the over.

Beneath are all of our knowledgeable picks for Tremendous Bowl 55, full with explanations for every decide and rating predictions for Chiefs vs. Buccaneers.

MORE SUPER BOWL PICKS: Against the spread | Straight-up predictions

Tremendous Bowl 2021 predictions: Professional picks for Chiefs vs. Buccaneers

  • Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Fla.
  • Kickoff time: 6:30 p.m. ET
  • TV: CBS
  • Level unfold: Chiefs -3
  • Over/beneath: 56.5
  • Moneyline: Chiefs -167, Buccaneers +145

Vinnie Iyer: Final 12 months in this space, I in some way went with a decide towards Patrick Mahomes. Let’s right that now, as a result of the Chiefs are taking part in as full Tremendous Bowl reigning champions.

Tom Brady has achieved nice work main the Buccaneers and elevating their offensive effectivity. The “dwelling crew” additionally has a reasonably good general protection. However the Chiefs counter nicely and have QB play, move protection, teaching and expertise all on their aspect on prime of that unstoppable, intimidating feeling. Though Brady can have his typical Tremendous Bowl moments, Mahomes can have much more of his to make sure the Chiefs repeat, preserving himself on a particular trajectory to rack up rings.

Prediction: Chiefs 31, Buccaneers 27

Invoice Bender: Patrick Mahomes handed for 462 yards within the regular-season assembly, and at one level it regarded like Tyreek Hill would set the single-game receiving file. Sort out Eric Fisher’s damage is a significant storyline given how Shaquil Barrett and Jason Pierre-Paul have been in a position to mix for 5 sacks within the NFC championship sport, however Mahomes presents extra of a problem due to his mobility.

Look for the same sport to emerge the second-time round. Kansas Metropolis will construct a first-half lead behind TD passes to Hill and Travis Kelce, however Tom Brady — as he so usually does — will lead a comeback within the second half. Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Rob Gronkowski will make their share of performs within the passing video games, and Leonard Fournette will likely be extra concerned this time round.

In the long run, nonetheless, the Chiefs don’t give Brady an opportunity to steer the game-winning drive. Mahomes wins Tremendous Bowl MVP honors once more, and Andy Reid begins serious about a three-peat.

Prediction: Chiefs 35, Buccaneers 32

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Mike DeCourcy: There is no such thing as a such factor as an undeserving Tremendous Bowl entrant. Stepping into the NFL Playoffs, when margins within the league are so slim between success and failure, is an underrated accomplishment. Maneuvering via these playoffs to the last word stage is wonderful.

Generally, that achievement must be embraced — as a result of that’s nearly as good because it’s going to get.

The Buccaneers have been a 7-9 crew a 12 months in the past. They have been 5-11 the 12 months earlier than that. Now, they’re a Tremendous Bowl crew. Quickly they are going to be a Tremendous Bowl loser, however till kickoff they’ll revel within the in a single day high quality of their success. They introduced in an “getting older” Tom Brady, watched him wrestle with the conversion to a brand new system, heard those that doubted it ever would take and now can chortle at those that questioned if he might be profitable with a special crew, at an age when most NFL gamers are lengthy since retired.

The Tremendous Bowl won’t be about Brady, although. It will likely be about how Tampa can cease Patrick Mahomes. They did a wonderful job towards Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. However that is even a half-step past that. They usually gained’t succeed. Mahomes is simply too elusive, too creative. It won’t be simple for KC, however it is going to be achieved.

Prediction: Chiefs 33, Buccaneers 24

Matt Lutovsky: The Buccaneers don’t have many weaknesses, but when there’s one space they wrestle, it’s move protection. That’s not perfect towards Patrick Mahomes and firm, so until the lack of Eric Fisher (Achilles’) opens the door for Tampa’s strong move rush to wreak havoc, Kansas Metropolis ought to have a key benefit. 

Tampa will be capable of run with its dynamic duo within the backfield — and it figures to close down KC on the bottom — however Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and Tyreek Hill are taking part in so nicely it may not matter. Throw in an opportunistic Kansas Metropolis protection towards a considerably mistake-prone Bucs offense, and you’ve got simply sufficient cause to love the Chiefs right here.

Prediction: Chiefs 30, Buccaneers 24

(Getty Pictures)

Joe Rivera: The extra issues change, the extra they keep the identical.
 
Whereas the Chiefs aren’t taking part in the 49ers within the Tremendous Bowl this 12 months, the matchup seems very comparable in a variety of methods, and rather a lot like final 12 months, the Chiefs’ protection is the important thing ingredient that isn’t been talked about sufficient all through one other KC romp via the playoffs.
 
Whereas Patrick Mahomes (deservedly) will get a lot of the reward for being a human “Madden” glitch, the Chiefs’ protection held one of many NFL’s most potent offenses to only 15 factors via three quarters within the AFC championship sport, with a number of inconsequential scores bumping up the Payments’ whole to 24 factors.
 
The Chiefs are, as soon as once more, taking part in a top-level protection with a reasonably killer move rush. With out left deal with Eric Fisher (out with an Achilles tear), Kansas Metropolis can have its fingers full with each Jason Pierre-Paul and Shaq Barrett, although Mahomes’ mobility and Andy Reid’s inventive play-calling will probably mitigate the specter of the move rush, very similar to they did in Tremendous Bowl 54.
 
With the intention to beat a Brady-led crew, you need to play a close to excellent sport. Tampa Bay’s broad receiver corps goes to be rather a lot to take care of. The run sport will likely be, too.
However the “Patrick Value” goes to be an excessive amount of for Brady and the Bucs to pay, and Mahomes will get his playoff revenge for the 2018 AFC championship sport loss to then-Patriot Brady.

Prediction: Chiefs 34, Buccaneers 24

Billy Heyen: As a lot as everybody will invoice this matchup as Patrick Mahomes vs. Tom Brady, it is actually Mahomes versus the Buccaneers’ move rush. Mahomes, the much better quarterback than Brady at this stage, must be neutralized for Tampa Bay to have any shot of profitable.

We already noticed in Week 12 that the Buccaneers haven’t any shot of masking Tyreek Hill. And Travis Kelce has confirmed repeatedly this season that mainly nobody can guard him. If Mahomes has time to face in and ship to his prime weapons, it’s going to be a protracted day for the de facto dwelling crew in Tampa. Even when Mahomes would not have time, he may be too good to cease, anyway.

Sure, it is outstanding that Brady is in his tenth Tremendous Bowl in his first 12 months with a brand new crew at age 43. However for all his GOAT-ness, Brady cannot influence Mahomes’ efficiency in Tremendous Bowl 55.

Prediction: Chiefs 34, Buccaneers 24

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