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Yu Darvish instant trade analysis: Padres snag another ace, Cubs pivot without GM

The Padres continued so as to add to their star-studded pitching rotation on Monday by reportedly buying and selling for Cubs right-hander Yu Darvish, a confirmed strikeout wizard coming off top-of-the-line two-month stretches of his profession.

Darvish’s favored catcher, Victor Caratini, can be headed to San Diego within the almost accomplished transaction.

As a result of not too long ago acquired left-hander Blake Snell is below a multi-year contract properly beneath market worth (three years, $39 million), the Padres felt snug including a portion of Darvish’s $59 million in future earnings to their payroll. Chicago, at the moment working and not using a normal supervisor, netted right-hander Zach Davies and 4 prospects for a pitcher the membership not too way back thought was on the verge of changing into unmovable. It’ll reportedly send money to San Diego to cowl a part of Darvish’s remaining contract, although experiences on that entrance are conflicted.

It is a cope with vital ramifications for the 2021 NL West and NL Central playoff races, and one which retains prime free-agent hurler Trevor Bauer out there for a company aside from the Padres to signal.

MORE: Blake Snell trade grades

Beneath is a breakdown of the Darvish commerce, together with seems to be at what the Japanese ace nonetheless has within the tank, how the Padres’ rotation may form up and whether or not the prospect haul for the Cubs strikes the needle for the franchise’s future.

Is Yu Darvish nonetheless good?

It is simpler for the pitchers who depend on guile as a lot as energy to make significant mid-career changes when their fastball fades, and few aces have been as tough as Darvish since he entered MLB in 2012.

After 1 1/2 seasons in Chicago marred by harm and underwhelming efficiency, Darvish excelled within the second half of 2019, then bought even higher when he started throwing his cutter and curveball far more in 2020. The best-hander’s 12 common season begins final marketing campaign had been unbelievable by nearly any statistical benchmark. He posted a 2.01 ERA and struck out 11 batters per 9 innings to simply 1.7 walks. The superior metrics had been equally spectacular — his 2.23 FIP led the league, and he completed within the 87th percentile in anticipated ERA, based on Baseball Savant.

At 34 years previous, Darvish will face questions on his skill to maintain that degree of success. Honest sufficient. However other than Zack Greinke, one other starter made nice by his depraved deception, there won’t be a pitch arsenal higher geared up to face up to the mid-30s growing old course of.

And given the bolstered depth of San Diego’s rotation, the chance of a Darvish downfall doesn’t carry season-ruining ramifications.

Yu Darvish contract particulars

Darvish is owed $22 million in 2021, $19 million in 2022 and $18 million in 2023. No participant or membership choices are hooked up to his contract.

Who’s within the Padres’ projected 2021 rotation?

2020 deadline acquisition Mike Clevinger is out of the image following Tommy John surgical procedure, however the record of 2021 rotation contenders remains to be candy for Padres followers.

Blake Snell, Dinelson Lamet and Yu Darvish characterize an ace trio, whereas at the least 5 different certified arms will duke it out for the ultimate two spots. High prospect Mackenzie Gore is the wild card right here, doubtlessly offering a midseason jolt if he impresses this spring. Ryan Weathers may be in play.

Listed here are the highest eight starters in San Diego proper now:

  • Blake Snell
  • Dinelson Lamet
  • Yu Darvish
  • Chris Paddack
  • Adrian Morejon
  • Mackenzie Gore
  • Ryan Weathers
  • Joey Lucchesi

Who’re the prospects the Cubs obtained for Yu Darvish?

That is in all probability as excessive because the Cubs might have hoped to promote on Darvish. The deal may hinder their skill to win in 2021 — although Zach Davies is a stable rotation insert — however the twin advantages of payroll discount and prospect addition will likely be regarded upon favorably inside their entrance workplace. There’s a future universe during which this commerce is seen as an absolute heist for Chicago, however that final result is basically contingent on how the next minor league newcomers carry out.

  • Reginald Preciado, SS
  • Owen Caisse, OF
  • Ismael Mena, OF
  • Yeison Santana, SS

Santana is the elder statesman prospect of the bunch, and he is simply 20 years previous. Caisse and Mena are 18. Preciado is 17. Every of the 4 gamers ranked amongst San Diego’s prime 20 prospects, with Preciado the best at No. 11. They’re a part of Chicago’s long-term imaginative and prescient and never anticipated to contribute on the big-league degree quickly.

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